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Obamas Second Year in Office  
Published:  2/21/2010 11:15:59 AM
Company Site:  http://www.masterandygoh.com.cn/english/index.asp
Category:  society
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After a year of happenings in the US, Im glad to achieve an accuracy of 80 percent in my predictions. It is also my first time to analyze a countrys economic performance; Wall Street and major indexes; currency movements; GDP in relation to a Presidents Bazi and the countrys monthly luck cycle. As mentioned in my previous post, the luck of the United States and US stock market is tied closely to Obamas luck. The US stock market will move up when Obamas luck is on upswing and vice versa.

The US economy is expected to continue its route to recovery in 2010. However, the US dollar will trend downwards during the year as released in our forecast 2010 Year of Tiger: Chinese Astrology Ba Zi Forecast. The weakening of the US dollar is closely related to the economic antics of the United States administration. A weaker US dollar will not only bring more business opportunities to the United States but it also erodes the competitiveness of other countries exports. Due to the weaker US dollar, more Asian countries will be attracted to expand their operations in the United States. This move will not only help reduce United States unemployment rate, it also encourages greater capital injections by investors into the countrys stock market.

It is highly improbable that the United States Federal Reserve will increase its interest rate. Firstly, United States is a major issuer of bonds and relies heavily on bond issuance for its government funding. A higher interest rate will only mean higher funding costs for the government of United States as new bonds have to be issued at higher prices to compensate bond buyers for the foregone income. Current bond holders will also rush to offload their current bond holdings as the value of their bond drop, resulting in an over supply of bonds in the market.

Should there be an increase in interest rate, I expect it to be capped at 50 bps for the year. This is assuming high inflation and that the economy is experiencing undesirable economic conditions. However, the probability of the United States federal reserve increasing the interest rate is remote.

Based on Obamas luck cycle, his second year in office will not be as smooth sailing as compared to the first, especially in the second half of 2010. A significant portion of Obamas problems will stem from the Asian countries. United States on the other hand will receive minimum impact from these issues. Although the United States receives little impact, its recovery progress will still be hindered in the second half of the year, posing issues to Obama.

Due to the clash of the heavenly stem and earthly branch in 2010, the overall luck of 2010 is adversely affected, resulting in the occurrence of several unfavourable events. Situation in the Middle-East regions will worsen, leading to higher frequency of terrorist attacks; natural disasters like earthquakes, tsunamis and typhoons are expected to strike during the year. We can also expect trade wars due to conflicting ideas and differences in opinions among countries in the second half of the year.

2010 will witness problems arising from Asian countries such as the property bubble due to an overheated market in the region. We will be releasing another article which focuses on the 2010 predictions for a certain major power in Asia in relation to that countrys Bazi and luck cycle.
For newest update on predictions on 2010 and article release, please return to
http://www.masterandygoh.com.cn/english/index.asp


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